Treasury

  • A close up of a gas pump that shows unleaded, plus and premium fuel with prices over $4 and $5 a gallon.
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    Inflation surges 3.8%, propelled by gas price, outpacing wage gains

    The war-induced rise in price pressures may prompt the Federal Reserve to forgo a reduction in borrowing costs this year, economists said.

    By • May 12, 2026
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    SAP ramps up push to bring AI agents to finance teams

    The rollout spans FP&A, tax, and treasury, as SAP moves to an end-to-end approach for automating finance workflows.

    By • May 12, 2026
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    Majid Saeedi via Getty Images
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    Iran war inflation crimps profits, plans for investment, hiring: NABE

    Half of the respondents to a National Association for Business Economics survey put the odds of a U.S. recession in the next 12 months at 26% or higher.

    By • May 11, 2026
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    Labor market adds 115,000 jobs, exceeds forecasts despite Iran war

    “Many businesses are catching up on hiring and investment decisions delayed last year due to tariff uncertainty,” said Bill Adams, chief U.S. economist at Fifth Third Commercial Bank.

    By • May 8, 2026
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    Rebound in hiring, steady job openings highlight firming labor market

    Bureau of Labor Statistics data affirmed the view of many economists that the job market is poised at an unusual “low-hire, low-fire” balance.

    By • May 5, 2026
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    Economy rebounds to 2% growth in Q1, spurred by AI spending

    The boost to economic growth from outlays on artificial intelligence may not counteract the drag from protracted conflict in the Middle East, according to economists.

    By • April 30, 2026
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    Fed holds main rate steady, notes risks to jobs, inflation from Iran war

    Jerome Powell said after the end of his term as Federal Reserve Chair in May he will remain on the board as a governor to help ensure the Fed is free of political interference.

    By • Updated April 29, 2026
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    Consumer confidence unexpectedly inches up as view of jobs brightens

    The improved outlook among consumers toward the labor market bolsters the argument among Federal Reserve officials opposing a cut to the main interest rate.

    By • April 28, 2026
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    Consumer sentiment sags to record low following gas price surge

    Consumer expectations for inflation over the long term increased this month to 3.5%, the highest level since October 2025.

    By • April 24, 2026
  • Iranians protest against attacks on Iran by Israel and the United States on February 28, 2026 in Tehran, Iran. Iran launched a wave of missiles at Israel and regional U.S. military sites in response to today's attacks, in which the U.S. and Israel struck a series of locations across the country.
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    Iran war slows growth in services, manufacturing: S&P Global

    Worries about war-induced inflation, supply bottlenecks, the cost of living and government policy have eroded sentiments among services companies, S&P Global said.

    By • April 23, 2026
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    Warsh says he would not be Trump’s ‘sock puppet’ on monetary policy

    Kevin Warsh during testimony to a Senate committee blamed Federal Reserve policymakers for stubborn, above-target inflation.

    By • April 21, 2026
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    AI expansion fuels robust M&A despite supply shocks: EY

    Dealmakers in coming months will need to take into account Middle East turmoil and other economic strains, according to EY-Parthenon Chief Economist Greg Daco.

    By • April 20, 2026
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    Fed policy ‘well positioned’ to handle risks from Iran war, Williams says

    A war-induced oil supply shock “has begun to play out,” John Williams, vice chair of the Federal Reserve's policy-setting committee said, noting rising prices for groceries and other consumer goods.

    By • April 16, 2026
  • Plumes of smoke rise over the skyline following explosions on March 1, 2026 in Tehran, Iran.
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    Iran war prompts wait-and-see stance to pricing, hiring, investment: Fed

    Many of the Federal Reserve’s 12 “districts continued to report signs of consumer financial strain, increased price sensitivity and rising demand at food banks,” the central bank said.

    By • April 15, 2026
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    Wholesale prices rise less than expected, showing slight impact from war

    The ability of the U.S. to meet most of its energy needs buffers it against the worst of the current oil shock.

    By • April 14, 2026
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    Economy likely faces just temporary setback from Iran war: survey

    The majority of survey respondents anticipate “the oil-price shock to be short-lived, with 59% expecting no or only a minor pass-through into core inflation,” according to Wolters Kluwer.

    By • April 13, 2026
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    Inflation surges most since 2022 as consumer sentiment hits record low

    Concern about inflationary harm from the Iran war flared across all demographic groups — by age, income and political affiliation.

    By • April 10, 2026
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    Fintech firm Adyen targets CFOs’ treasury fragmentation problem

    Financial operations at global enterprises remain “stubbornly complex,” as treasury teams juggle multiple banking and payment systems, the company said.

    By • April 9, 2026
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    Consumer spending inches up, reflecting gloomy inflation sentiments

    Economists have voiced concern that a surge in energy prices since the start of the Iran war will fuel inflation and slow household outlays.

    By • April 9, 2026
  • Fire and smoke arise after an attack on the Shahran oil depot in Tehran, Iran on June 15, 2025.
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    Consumer inflation expectations jump amid Iran war price pressure

    Energy prices rose Tuesday as President Donald Trump threatened to eliminate Iranian civilization if Tehran fails to open the Strait of Hormuz and meet other demands.

    By • April 7, 2026
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    Services sector slows as Iran war fuels inflation: ISM survey

    The Iran war creates “the potential for significant ongoing” oil shocks, persistent inflation and higher-than-expected interest rates, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said.

    By • April 6, 2026
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    Hiring rebounds with 178,000 new jobs, unemployment dips to 4.3%

    Even with a big gain in payrolls last month, several unusual forces are jolting the labor market and prompting companies to take a low-hire, low-fire approach to headcount.

    By • April 3, 2026
  • Fire and smoke arise after an attack on the Shahran oil depot in Tehran, Iran on June 15, 2025.
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    Economists see Iran war spurring inflation, slowing GDP growth: NABE

    A “broadening of geopolitical conflicts” poses the biggest risk to the economy, according to 69% of respondents to a National Association for Business Economics survey.

    By • April 2, 2026
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    Manufacturing expands as ‘big leap’ puts prices at post-2022 high: ISM

    “Geopolitical tensions related to the conflict in Iran are contributing to rising manufacturing supply costs,” an executive at a chemical maker said.

    By • April 1, 2026
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    Consumer confidence inches up despite Iran war, rising gas price

    A Conference Board survey aligns with recent reports showing a jump in consumer expectations for short-term inflation.

    By • March 31, 2026