Treasury
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Fed trims main rate by quarter-point, forecasts one cut in 2026
Policymakers reduced borrowing costs for the third time in 2025 amid persistent signs of cooling in the labor market.
By Jim Tyson • Dec. 10, 2025 -
Job openings rise to five-month high as hiring slows: BLS
Futures traders expect that a divided Federal Reserve will trim the main interest rate by a quarter point on Wednesday, giving way to officials concerned about shoring up the labor market.
By Jim Tyson • Dec. 9, 2025 -
Inflation holds steady, bolstering case for Fed benchmark rate cut
Most Fed watchers and futures traders expect the Federal Reserve will trim the federal funds rate by a quarter point to a range of 3.5% to 3.75% on Dec. 10.
By Jim Tyson • Dec. 5, 2025 -
Treasury, OECD race clock to ink global minimum tax deal by year-end
Without an agreement, the Trump administration’s opposition to the global tax deal favored by Biden leaves multinational companies’ 2026 tax strategies in limbo.
By Stephen Joyce • Dec. 5, 2025 -
Companies cut 32,000 from payrolls as Fed debates trimming main rate: ADP
Futures traders have increased the odds that the Federal Reserve on Dec. 10 will cut borrowing costs to 89% from 83.4.% last week.
By Jim Tyson • Dec. 3, 2025 -
U.S. manufacturing shrinks for ninth month as new orders fall: ISM
“The health of the U.S. manufacturing sector gets more worrying the more you scratch under the surface,” an S&P Global Market Intelligence economist said.
By Jim Tyson • Dec. 2, 2025 -
IRS’s temporary relief grants more workers eligibility under Trump’s ‘no tax on tips’ law
The new guidance grants employees and employers “transition relief” until Jan. 1 of the first calendar year after final rules are issued to determine if they fall under a category for exemptions.
By Ginger Christ • Nov. 26, 2025 -
Consumer confidence slumps across all major metrics: Conference Board
The report of sagging household confidence aligns with a University of Michigan survey that found inflation and pressure on personal incomes pushed down consumer sentiment this month.
By Jim Tyson • Nov. 25, 2025 -
Job gains slowing, unemployment likely to rise to 4.5% next year: NABE
While forecasting a mix of rising unemployment with above-target but steady inflation, most NABE forecasters predicted that the Federal Reserve will trim borrowing costs next month.
By Jim Tyson • Nov. 24, 2025 -
Consumer sentiment slumps near record low: University of Michigan
Measures of the consumer outlook for both personal finances and buying conditions for durable goods plunged more than 10%, the University of Michigan found in a survey.
By Jim Tyson • Nov. 21, 2025 -
CFOs see steady comp improvement, but outsize packages level off
Employers are being more cautious when it comes to paying up for new finance chief hires, according to executive search firm experts.
By Deborah L. Cohen • Nov. 21, 2025 -
Hiring in September exceeds forecasts, while jobless rate rises to 4.4%
A fresh jobs report will likely do nothing to narrow a debate among Federal Reserve officials about the best path for monetary policy.
By Jim Tyson • Nov. 20, 2025 -
Inflation ranks as No. 1 worry among small businesses: Bank of America
Most small business owners said their costs have increased 18% on average during the past year, Bank of America said.
By Jim Tyson • Nov. 19, 2025 -
FASB takes up new crypto transfers project
The accounting standards setter voted to tackle transfers of crypto assets including wrapped tokens, marking the third digital assets project to hit its technical agenda.
By Maura Webber Sadovi • Nov. 19, 2025 -
CFOs are reaching for downside budget protections, McKinsey exec says
A conservative sentiment is shaping this year’s budget season, with many companies taking extra care setting spending priorities and realistic goals, McKinsey’s Kevin Carmody says.
By Maura Webber Sadovi • Nov. 18, 2025 -
Factory activity speeds up to fastest pace in a year: NY Fed
The manufacturing survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, although volatile month-to-month, is widely viewed as a bellwether for U.S. manufacturing.
By Jim Tyson • Nov. 17, 2025 -
Most prices in CPI inflation data rising faster than 3%: Apollo’s Sløk
Several Federal Reserve district bank presidents have voiced concern this month about persistent inflation and cautioned against more reductions in borrowing costs.
By Jim Tyson • Nov. 14, 2025 -
Consumer sentiment slumps to 3-year low on shutdown, economy fears
The decline in consumer sentiment this month spanned all population categories, including age, income and political affiliation, the University of Michigan found in a survey.
By Jim Tyson • Nov. 7, 2025 -
Employers weigh rising GLP-1 cost pressures
This year 43% of large employers biggest plans covered drugs like Ozempic for weight loss, up from 28% last year according to a Peterson-KFF report.
By Stephen Joyce • Nov. 5, 2025 -
ADM cuts guidance, awaits China trade deal ‘clarity’
The grain trader’s CFO said the “evolving trade landscape” affected Q3 demand for its key agriculture services and oilseeds business.
By Maura Webber Sadovi • Nov. 4, 2025 -
Inflation rises less than expected, clearing path for more Fed easing
Futures traders see 96.7% odds that the central bank will trim the federal funds rate on Wednesday by a quarter percentage point, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
By Jim Tyson • Oct. 24, 2025 -
Trump tariffs push up prices by 4.9 percentage points: Tax Foundation
Trump administration officials have asserted for months that import duties will at most cause a one-time bump in inflation.
By Jim Tyson • Oct. 23, 2025 -
AICPA asks IRS for employer protections on tips, overtime deductions
While the IRS has released guidelines on Trump’s new tax rules related to tips and overtime, the AICPA says employers are still uncertain about their reporting obligations.
By Maura Webber Sadovi • Oct. 21, 2025 -
Tariffs likely to spur ‘meaningful’ inflationary surge: Atlanta Fed
Federal Reserve officials in recent months have debated whether import duties will spur a temporary or sustained rise in prices.
By Jim Tyson • Oct. 20, 2025 -
CEO view on economy sours amid stubborn inflation: Conference Board
The economy slowed to 1.9% growth during the third quarter, according to Conference Board estimates, compared with 3.8% during Q2.
By Jim Tyson • Oct. 17, 2025