Treasury


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    Warsh says he would not be Trump’s ‘sock puppet’ on monetary policy

    Kevin Warsh during testimony to a Senate committee blamed Federal Reserve policymakers for stubborn, above-target inflation.

    By April 21, 2026
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    AI expansion fuels robust M&A despite supply shocks: EY

    Dealmakers in coming months will need to take into account Middle East turmoil and other economic strains, according to EY-Parthenon Chief Economist Greg Daco.

    By April 20, 2026
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    Fed policy ‘well positioned’ to handle risks from Iran war, Williams says

    A war-induced oil supply shock “has begun to play out,” John Williams, vice chair of the Federal Reserve's policy-setting committee said, noting rising prices for groceries and other consumer goods.

    By April 16, 2026
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    Iran war prompts wait-and-see stance to pricing, hiring, investment: Fed

    Many of the Federal Reserve’s 12 “districts continued to report signs of consumer financial strain, increased price sensitivity and rising demand at food banks,” the central bank said.

    By April 15, 2026
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    Wholesale prices rise less than expected, showing slight impact from war

    The ability of the U.S. to meet most of its energy needs buffers it against the worst of the current oil shock.

    By April 14, 2026
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    Economy likely faces just temporary setback from Iran war: survey

    The majority of survey respondents anticipate “the oil-price shock to be short-lived, with 59% expecting no or only a minor pass-through into core inflation,” according to Wolters Kluwer.

    By April 13, 2026
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    Inflation surges most since 2022 as consumer sentiment hits record low

    Concern about inflationary harm from the Iran war flared across all demographic groups — by age, income and political affiliation.

    By April 10, 2026
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    Fintech firm Adyen targets CFOs’ treasury fragmentation problem

    Financial operations at global enterprises remain “stubbornly complex,” as treasury teams juggle multiple banking and payment systems, the company said.

    By April 9, 2026
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    Consumer spending inches up, reflecting gloomy inflation sentiments

    Economists have voiced concern that a surge in energy prices since the start of the Iran war will fuel inflation and slow household outlays.

    By April 9, 2026
  • Fire and smoke arise after an attack on the Shahran oil depot in Tehran, Iran on June 15, 2025.
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    Consumer inflation expectations jump amid Iran war price pressure

    Energy prices rose Tuesday as President Donald Trump threatened to eliminate Iranian civilization if Tehran fails to open the Strait of Hormuz and meet other demands.

    By April 7, 2026
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    Services sector slows as Iran war fuels inflation: ISM survey

    The Iran war creates “the potential for significant ongoing” oil shocks, persistent inflation and higher-than-expected interest rates, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said.

    By April 6, 2026
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    Hiring rebounds with 178,000 new jobs, unemployment dips to 4.3%

    Even with a big gain in payrolls last month, several unusual forces are jolting the labor market and prompting companies to take a low-hire, low-fire approach to headcount.

    By April 3, 2026
  • Fire and smoke arise after an attack on the Shahran oil depot in Tehran, Iran on June 15, 2025.
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    Stringer via Getty Images
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    Economists see Iran war spurring inflation, slowing GDP growth: NABE

    A “broadening of geopolitical conflicts” poses the biggest risk to the economy, according to 69% of respondents to a National Association for Business Economics survey.

    By April 2, 2026
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    Manufacturing expands as ‘big leap’ puts prices at post-2022 high: ISM

    “Geopolitical tensions related to the conflict in Iran are contributing to rising manufacturing supply costs,” an executive at a chemical maker said.

    By April 1, 2026
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    Consumer confidence inches up despite Iran war, rising gas price

    A Conference Board survey aligns with recent reports showing a jump in consumer expectations for short-term inflation.

    By March 31, 2026
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    Stable inflation expectations enable Fed to hold rates steady: Powell

    “Inflation expectations do appear to be well anchored beyond the short term,” Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell told economics students at Harvard University.

    By March 30, 2026
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    Consumer sentiment falls 6%, hit by declining stocks, higher gas prices

    Household expectations for inflation in 12 months rose to 3.8% from 3.4% in February in the biggest one-month gain since April 2025, the University of Michigan found in a survey.

    By March 27, 2026
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    Inflation will surge to 4.2% as Iran war pushes up energy costs: OECD

    The OECD expectation for higher inflation differs from an optimistic forecast by Fed officials last week.

    By March 26, 2026
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    CFO uncertainty rises more than any other top concern during Q1

    In a sign of uncertainty, financial market volatility has flared this month, with the Cboe Volatility Index hitting the highest level since the imposition of sweeping U.S. tariffs last April.

    By March 25, 2026
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    Majid Saeedi via Getty Images
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    Business growth slows to 11-month low as Iran war triggers price spike

    “Companies are reporting a hit to demand from the additional uncertainty and cost of living impact generated by the conflict,” according to an S&P Global economist.

    By March 24, 2026
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    Hormuz Strait blockade would slow Q2 economy at 2.9 pp annual rate

    Factors such as higher insurance rates “could cause the oil price increase to be more substantial than our model suggests,” Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas economists said.

    By March 23, 2026
  • Fire and smoke arise after an attack on the Shahran oil depot in Tehran, Iran on June 15, 2025.
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    Stringer via Getty Images
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    Economy before Iran war signaled slower future growth: Conference Board

    “This is looking like it’s going to be a protracted conflict, and oil prices are going to stay high for a longer time,” Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said.

    By March 20, 2026
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    Jobless claims fall to two-month low as lull in layoffs, hiring persists

    Unemployment will likely hold steady at 4.4% throughout this year, according to a median estimate by Federal Reserve officials released Wednesday.

    By March 19, 2026
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    Fed holds rates steady, flags uncertainty as oil price soars amid war

    The Fed faces a policy dilemma as the Iran war spurs a jump in energy prices, threatening to increase inflation, slow economic growth and push up unemployment.

    By Updated March 18, 2026
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    CBP is working on 4-step tariff refund process

    The agency detailed progress it’s made developing a dedicated system to process refunds for International Emergency Economic Powers Act tariffs in a court filing.

    By Phil Neuffer • March 16, 2026